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Interactive Effects of Conservation and Development Policies on Land Cover and Panda Habitat in the Sichuan Giant Panda Sanctuary (China)
Project Start Date
01/01/2008
Project End Date
04/30/2011
Project Call Name
Regional_Initiative_Name
Region
Solicitation

Team Members:

Person Name Person role on project Affiliation
Jianguo Liu Principal Investigator Michigan State University, East Lansing, United States
Abstract

The interactive effects of development and conservation on land cover change are largely unclear because most studies have focused on each of these forces separately, although they often act simultaneously and may be complementary or counterproductive. China has implemented two of the most ambitious national conservation policies in the world, the Natural Forest Conservation Program (NFCP bans the logging of forests and provides incentives to control illegal harvesting) and the Grain-to-Green Program (GTGP gives subsidies to farmers who convert steep hillside cropland to forest or grassland). But China is also escalating economic growth through the West China Development Program (WCDP). The goal of this proposal is to understand and simulate the interactive effects of these conservation/development policies on the spatio-temporal dynamics of land cover and the habitat for the endangered giant panda (a global biodiversity conservation icon) in the Sichuan Giant Panda Sanctuary. The Sanctuary is an ideal site because NFCP, GTGP and WCDP have been implemented simultaneously since 2000. To achieve our research goal, we will combine field sampling, remote sensing (including many NASA remote sensing assets) and interviews with stakeholders. These various types of information will be integrated into a spatially-explicit model to simulate the outcome of land cover and panda habitat under different policy scenarios. Built on our long-term research in Wolong Nature Reserve (part of the Sanctuary), this unique and significant project addresses an important aspect of the Research Topic “Projections” of the LCLUC Program. It will allow to evaluate the interactive effects of multiple policies regarding conservation and development. Our proposed approach also has potential applications in many parts of China and the world. In short, the completion of this project will help advance the theory, enhance the methodology, and widen the application of land change science for biodiversity conservation.

Project Documents

Project Documents

Year Type Title
2011 Publications Chen, X., K. A. Frank, G. He, T. Dietz, J. Liu. In review. Weak ties, labor migration, and environmental impacts: towards a sociology of sustainability. American Sociological Review.
2011 Publications Tuanmu, M-N., A. Vińa, G. J. Roloff, W. Liu, Z. Ouyang, H. Zhang and J. Liu. In press. Temporal transferability of wildlife habitat models: implications for habitat monitoring. Journal of Biogeography.
2011 Publications Liu, J., V. Hull, A.T. Morzillo, and J.A. Wiens (Eds.). In press. Sources, sinks, and sustainability. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.
2010 Publications Vińa, A., M-N. Tuanmu, W. Xu, Y. Li, Z. Ouyang, R. DeFries and J. Liu. 2010. Range-wide analysis of wildlife habitat: Implications for conservation. Biological Conservation 143: 1960-1969, doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2010.04.046.
2010 Publications Chen, X., F. Lupi, A. Vińa, G. He and J. Liu. 2010. Using cost-effective targeting to enhance the efficiency of conservation investments in payments for ecosystem services. Conservation Biology 24(6): 1469–1478, DOI: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01551.x.
2010 Publications Liu, J. 2010. China's road to sustainability. Science 328:50.
2010 Publications Tuanmu, M-N., A. Vińa, S. Bearer, W. Xu, Z. Ouyang, H. Zhang and J. Liu. 2010. Mapping understory vegetation using phenological characteristics derived from remotely sensed data. Remote Sensing of Environment 114: 1833-1844, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2010.03.008.
2010 Publications Bawa, K.S., L.P. Koh, T.M. Lee, J. Liu, P. S. Ramakrishnan, D.W. Yu, Y. Zhang, P.H. Raven. 2010. China, India, and the environment. Science 327: 1457-1459.
2010 Publications An, L. and J. Liu. 2010. Long-term effects of family planning and other determinants of fertility on population and environment: agent-based modeling evidence from Wolong Nature Reserve, China. Population and Environment 31:427-459.
2010 Publications Vińa, A., X. Chen, W. J. McConnell, W. Liu, W. Xu, Z. Ouyang, H. Zhang and J. Liu. 2010. Effects of natural disasters on conservation policies: The case of the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake, China. Ambio DOI: 10.1007/s13280-010-0098-0.
2009 Publications Chen, X., F. Lupi, G. He, and J. Liu. 2009. Linking social norms to efficient conservation investment in payments for ecosystem services. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106:11812-11817.
2009 Publications Chen, X., F. Lupi, G. He, Z. Ouyang, and J. Liu. 2009. Factors affecting land reconversion plans following a payment for ecosystem service program. Biological Conservation 142:1740-1747.
2008 Publications Liu, J., S. Li, Z. Ouyang, C. Tam, and X. Chen. 2008. Ecological and socioeconomic effects of China's policies for ecosystem services. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105: 9477-9482.
Year Type Title
2011 Publications Chen, X., K. A. Frank, G. He, T. Dietz, J. Liu. In review. Weak ties, labor migration, and environmental impacts: towards a sociology of sustainability. American Sociological Review.
2011 Publications Tuanmu, M-N., A. Vińa, G. J. Roloff, W. Liu, Z. Ouyang, H. Zhang and J. Liu. In press. Temporal transferability of wildlife habitat models: implications for habitat monitoring. Journal of Biogeography.
2011 Publications Liu, J., V. Hull, A.T. Morzillo, and J.A. Wiens (Eds.). In press. Sources, sinks, and sustainability. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.
2010 Publications Vińa, A., M-N. Tuanmu, W. Xu, Y. Li, Z. Ouyang, R. DeFries and J. Liu. 2010. Range-wide analysis of wildlife habitat: Implications for conservation. Biological Conservation 143: 1960-1969, doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2010.04.046.
2010 Publications Chen, X., F. Lupi, A. Vińa, G. He and J. Liu. 2010. Using cost-effective targeting to enhance the efficiency of conservation investments in payments for ecosystem services. Conservation Biology 24(6): 1469–1478, DOI: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01551.x.
2010 Publications Liu, J. 2010. China's road to sustainability. Science 328:50.
2010 Publications Tuanmu, M-N., A. Vińa, S. Bearer, W. Xu, Z. Ouyang, H. Zhang and J. Liu. 2010. Mapping understory vegetation using phenological characteristics derived from remotely sensed data. Remote Sensing of Environment 114: 1833-1844, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2010.03.008.
2010 Publications Bawa, K.S., L.P. Koh, T.M. Lee, J. Liu, P. S. Ramakrishnan, D.W. Yu, Y. Zhang, P.H. Raven. 2010. China, India, and the environment. Science 327: 1457-1459.
2010 Publications An, L. and J. Liu. 2010. Long-term effects of family planning and other determinants of fertility on population and environment: agent-based modeling evidence from Wolong Nature Reserve, China. Population and Environment 31:427-459.
2010 Publications Vińa, A., X. Chen, W. J. McConnell, W. Liu, W. Xu, Z. Ouyang, H. Zhang and J. Liu. 2010. Effects of natural disasters on conservation policies: The case of the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake, China. Ambio DOI: 10.1007/s13280-010-0098-0.
2009 Publications Chen, X., F. Lupi, G. He, and J. Liu. 2009. Linking social norms to efficient conservation investment in payments for ecosystem services. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106:11812-11817.
2009 Publications Chen, X., F. Lupi, G. He, Z. Ouyang, and J. Liu. 2009. Factors affecting land reconversion plans following a payment for ecosystem service program. Biological Conservation 142:1740-1747.
2008 Publications Liu, J., S. Li, Z. Ouyang, C. Tam, and X. Chen. 2008. Ecological and socioeconomic effects of China's policies for ecosystem services. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105: 9477-9482.